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Morris on the one stat that matters

Strokes gained, explained

Greens in regulation and putts per round tell you what happened; strokes gained tells you where the strokes went. Here is the arithmetic, in player words, what it means off the tour, and how Morris computes yours from your watch.

Short answer: every spot on the course has an expected number of strokes to finish from there. A shot’s strokes gained = expected before − expected after − 1. Add them up by category: off the tee, approach, around the green (within 30 yards), putting. Positive beats the baseline player, negative trails it. The category with the most negative number is where your strokes go.

By Morris, by Badgie Golf · Updated

The arithmetic, with one shot

  1. 1

    The baseline

    From the tee of a 400-yard par 4, a tour player needs about 4 strokes on average. From 150 yards in the fairway, about 3. From 20 feet on the green, about 1.9. Those averages, for every distance and lie, are the baseline.

  2. 2

    One shot

    You drive it 250 to the fairway, 150 left. Expected before: 4.0. Expected after: 3.0. Strokes gained: 4.0 − 3.0 − 1 = 0.0. An average tour drive. Drive it 280 to 120 in the fairway (expected 2.8): +0.2. Into the trees at 180 (expected 3.5): −0.5.

  3. 3

    The categories

    Tee shots on par 4s and 5s go to off the tee; par-3 tee shots and everything to the green go to approach; anything within 30 yards of the green's edge to around the green; putts to putting. Tee to green is the first three. Total adds putting.

  4. 4

    The reading

    A round at −6 total split −1, −3.5, −0.5, −1 says the strokes are in the approach shots. That is where the practice goes, not the putting green.

What the numbers mean for a club golfer

Against a tour or scratch baselineMeans
Total around −10 to −15A typical mid-handicap round: every category negative, which is normal
Approach the most negativeThe usual pattern: distance control and strike from 100 to 180 yards
Putting barely negativeMost amateurs putt closer to scratch than they think; the short game is not where the handicap is
Off the tee strongly negativePenalties and lost balls, not length: the fix is keeping it in play, not speed

The baseline is a choice. Against the tour, everyone is negative; the information is in the differences between categories and between rounds, not in the sign.

How Morris calculates yours

From your shots, not from the card. When your rounds come from a Garmin watch connected to Badgie Golf, each shot has where it started, where it ended, the distance and the lie: exactly what the formula needs. The engine scores every shot against a scratch-level baseline table built on Broadie’s method and adds them up by category over your last rounds. Two honest limits: putting only counts when putts are recorded (Garmin’s automatic shot detection usually stops at the green, so putting reads neutral), and the baseline is a scratch benchmark, so your numbers are negative and the read is the comparison between categories. On WhatsApp Morris gives you the category that costs most and the one thing to work on; the swing analyzer finds the cause behind an approach game that leaks, and the handicap calculator shows what a round would do to your Index.

Sources

The shot behind the number: your swing on video

One swing, face-on or down the line, your whole body in the frame. Up to 20 seconds.

Your video is used only for this analysis and is deleted after 30 days. No name, no email, no account.

Strokes gained questions

What is strokes gained?

A way of scoring every shot, not just the hole. Each spot on the course has an expected number of strokes to finish from there (the baseline). A shot's strokes gained is the baseline where it started, minus the baseline where it finished, minus one for the shot. Positive means better than the baseline player; negative, worse. Sum the shots and you get the round, by category.

What are the four strokes gained categories?

Off the tee (tee shots on par 4s and 5s), approach (shots to the green that are not around the green or putts, including par-3 tee shots), around the green (any shot within 30 yards of the green's edge) and putting. Tee to green is the first three; total adds putting.

Who invented strokes gained?

Mark Broadie, a Columbia University professor, using the PGA Tour's ShotLink data. The Tour adopted strokes gained putting in 2011 and the other categories in 2016; his book 'Every Shot Counts' explains the method.

Can an amateur use strokes gained?

Yes, with a baseline that fits. Against a tour baseline every club golfer is negative in every category; the useful read is which category is least bad and which costs most. Three rounds of data show most golfers that approach play, not putting, is where the strokes go.

How does Morris calculate my strokes gained?

From your shots, not your score: when your rounds come from a Garmin watch connected to Badgie Golf, each shot has a start, an end, a distance and a lie, and the engine scores it against a scratch-level baseline table (Broadie's method, rounded). Putting counts only when the putts are recorded; Garmin's auto-shot usually stops at the green. Morris reads the result on WhatsApp and tells you the category that is costing most.

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